AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Utica Comets — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

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Model prediction for 31 October

Utica Comets34%
Draw in regulation22%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utica Comets — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2.5–2.8
Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Utica Comets

  • 12.10away · Belleville Senators4:2
  • 11.10Rochester Americans2:1
  • 03.10away · Providence Bruins2:1
  • 19.04away · Providence Bruins4:2
  • 18.04Providence Bruins4:1

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

  • 11.10away · Providence Bruins6:2
  • 11.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack7:1
  • 05.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:3
  • 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds2:3 OT
  • 08.06Toronto Marlies1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 21.12.2025Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Utica Comets2:3 SO
  • 20.12.2025Utica Comets — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:4
  • 09.11.2025Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Utica Comets4:0
  • 02.11.2025Utica Comets — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:1
  • 26.01.2025Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Utica Comets2:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Utica Comets33008–4+461.000
2Milwaukee Admirals22007–2+541.000
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667
13Wilkes-Barre/Scranton421117–9+85.625
14Rochester Americans421113–7+65.625

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →