NHL · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Vancouver Canucks — Toronto Maple Leafs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Toronto Maple Leafs are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- Toronto Maple Leafs are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vancouver Canucks — Toronto Maple Leafs | 2.9–3.2 | |
| Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vancouver Canucks
- Vancouver Canucks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · New York Islanders2:3
- 12.10away · New York Rangers2:6
- 10.10away · New Jersey Devils1:4
- 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
- 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 11.10away · Colorado Avalanche6:3
- 09.10away · Vegas Golden Knights3:4 SO
- 07.10Nashville Predators5:4 OT
- 04.10Ottawa Senators2:3
- 01.10New York Islanders2:1
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Vancouver Canucks — Toronto Maple Leafs2:3 SO
- 11.01.2026Toronto Maple Leafs — Vancouver Canucks5:0
- 09.02.2025Vancouver Canucks — Toronto Maple Leafs2:1
- 12.01.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Vancouver Canucks0:3
- 21.01.2024Vancouver Canucks — Toronto Maple Leafs6:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- Montreal CanadiensPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Dallas StarsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Colorado AvalancheCalgary Flamespreliminary81191The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 5:26.2
- Carolina HurricanesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Washington CapitalsMinnesota Wildpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →