PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Vaxjo — Skelleftea

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 15 October

Vaxjo32%
Draw in regulation22%
Skelleftea47%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Skelleftea are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vaxjo — Skelleftea2.3–2.8
Vaxjo to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vaxjo
  • Vaxjo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Vaxjo

  • 10.10away · Orebro2:4
  • 08.10Linkoping0:3
  • 03.10Rogle3:2
  • 01.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:4
  • 26.09HV 717:5

Skelleftea

  • 10.10Rogle3:2
  • 08.10Farjestad1:5
  • 03.10away · Timra4:1
  • 01.10Malmo4:3 OT
  • 29.09Lulea6:1

Head to head

  • 05.03.2026Vaxjo — Skelleftea4:1
  • 10.01.2026Skelleftea — Vaxjo6:3
  • 06.12.2025Skelleftea — Vaxjo4:0
  • 04.10.2025Vaxjo — Skelleftea2:5
  • 06.03.2025Vaxjo — Skelleftea0:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven8510222–20+217
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea8411228–21+715
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBrynas8400423–18+512
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea8301420–26-610
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVaxjo8211425–30-59
11Djurgarden8211416–22-69

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasDjurgarden
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.2
  • FarjestadLulea
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • IF BjorklovenRogle
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • LinkopingFrolunda
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
  • MalmoOrebro
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • TimraHV 71
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →