Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Vitkovice — Liberec

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Model prediction for 20 October

Vitkovice31%
Draw in regulation22%
Liberec47%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Liberec are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Liberec are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vitkovice — Liberec2.4–2.9
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vitkovice
  • Vitkovice goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Vitkovice

  • 11.10away · Sparta Prague0:3
  • 09.10Pardubice2:3
  • 04.10away · Mountfield HK2:3 OT
  • 02.10Karlovy Vary0:3
  • 29.09away · Olomouc4:3

Liberec

  • 11.10away · Ceske Budejovice3:4
  • 09.10Karlovy Vary5:0
  • 04.10away · Mlada Boleslav5:3
  • 02.10Olomouc2:0
  • 29.09away · Litvinov4:5 SO

Head to head

  • 27.01.2026Liberec — Vitkovice6:2
  • 23.12.2025Vitkovice — Liberec4:1
  • 31.10.2025Liberec — Vitkovice2:3
  • 23.09.2025Vitkovice — Liberec4:2
  • 28.01.2025Vitkovice — Liberec4:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague10402431–28+314
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec10402429–29014
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov10311524–28-412
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc10110818–36-185

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →