NHL · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Washington Capitals — Minnesota Wild
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Washington Capitals 51%, Minnesota Wild 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — Minnesota Wild | 2.7–2.7 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
- 10.10New York Rangers3:1
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 14.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:5
- 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
- 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
- 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
Head to head
- 17.12.2025Minnesota Wild — Washington Capitals5:0
- 18.10.2025Washington Capitals — Minnesota Wild5:1
- 28.03.2025Minnesota Wild — Washington Capitals4:2
- 03.01.2025Washington Capitals — Minnesota Wild3:4 SO
- 24.01.2024Minnesota Wild — Washington Capitals5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- Montreal CanadiensPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Vancouver CanucksToronto Maple Leafspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.1
- Dallas StarsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Colorado AvalancheCalgary Flamespreliminary81191The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 5:26.2
- Carolina HurricanesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →