AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Belleville Senators

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 24 October

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton55%
Draw in regulation19%
Belleville Senators25%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Belleville Senators3.5–2.5
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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Form

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

  • 11.10away · Providence Bruins6:2
  • 11.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack7:1
  • 05.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:3
  • 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds2:3 OT
  • 08.06Toronto Marlies1:2 OT

Belleville Senators

  • 12.10Utica Comets2:4
  • 11.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2
  • 04.10Rochester Americans3:2 SO
  • 03.10Hamilton Hammers2:5
  • 19.04away · Syracuse Crunch0:4

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Belleville Senators — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:2 SO
  • 22.01.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Belleville Senators2:3 OT
  • 09.03.2025Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Belleville Senators8:3
  • 05.03.2025Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Belleville Senators1:4
  • 12.01.2025Belleville Senators — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton4:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667
13Wilkes-Barre/Scranton421117–9+85.625
14Rochester Americans421113–7+65.625
21Charlotte Checkers420211–12-14.500
22Belleville Senators420210–13-34.500
23Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →