KHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Yekaterinburg — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CSKA Moscow are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yekaterinburg — CSKA Moscow | 2.0–2.1 | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Yekaterinburg
- Yekaterinburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 06.10Avangard Omsk4:0
- 04.10Khabarovsk0:3
- 02.10Khabarovsk3:0
- 30.09Lada3:1
- 26.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
- 09.10away · Dynamo Moscow5:2
- 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
- 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
- 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1
- 29.09SKA St. Petersburg6:5
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Yekaterinburg — CSKA Moscow0:3
- 02.03.2026CSKA Moscow — Yekaterinburg0:1
- 10.03.2025Yekaterinburg — CSKA Moscow3:4
- 10.10.2024CSKA Moscow — Yekaterinburg3:4 SO
- 04.02.2024CSKA Moscow — Yekaterinburg4:5 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- Tractor ChelyabinskBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- LadaShanghaipreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlDynamo Moscowpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
- Spartak MoscowCherepovetspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →