Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Yunost Minsk — Neman Grodno

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Model prediction for 27 October

Yunost Minsk39%
Draw in regulation24%
Neman Grodno37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Yunost Minsk 51%, Neman Grodno 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.2.

Facts

  • Yunost Minsk: 5 defeats in a row; Neman Grodno: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Yunost Minsk 3 wins, Neman Grodno 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Yunost Minsk — Neman Grodno2.2–2.1
Yunost Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)31%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)69%

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  • Handicap Yunost Minsk
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Form

Yunost Minsk

  • 12.10Soligorsk1:7
  • 10.10Soligorsk4:6
  • 04.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 03.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 30.09away · Baranavichy0:5

Neman Grodno

  • 11.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha1:0
  • 09.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha3:2 OT
  • 06.10Novopolotsk4:1
  • 04.10Novopolotsk4:1
  • 29.09away · Brest2:4

Head to head

  • 25.03.2026Yunost Minsk — Neman Grodno6:2
  • 23.03.2026Neman Grodno — Yunost Minsk1:0
  • 21.03.2026Yunost Minsk — Neman Grodno4:1
  • 19.03.2026Neman Grodno — Yunost Minsk3:2 OT
  • 17.03.2026Neman Grodno — Yunost Minsk3:5

Full record: 96 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
  • SlavutychBrestpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:26.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →