Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Monday, 12 October, MSK

Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:7Came true
Yunost Minsk24%
Draw in regulation20%
Soligorsk56%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:7: the model's most likely outcome, Soligorsk to win (69% incl. overtime), came true.

Soligorsk are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Soligorsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • Yunost Minsk: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Yunost Minsk 2 wins, Soligorsk 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk2.2–3.2
Yunost Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Soligorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Yunost Minsk
  • Yunost Minsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Yunost Minsk

  • 10.10Soligorsk4:6
  • 04.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 03.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 30.09away · Baranavichy0:5
  • 28.09away · Baranavichy2:5

Soligorsk

  • 10.10away · Yunost Minsk6:4
  • 05.10Baranavichy4:5
  • 03.10Baranavichy4:2
  • 30.09away · Slavutych1:5
  • 28.09away · Slavutych3:4 SO

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk4:6
  • 17.02.2026Soligorsk — Yunost Minsk5:4
  • 15.02.2026Soligorsk — Yunost Minsk3:1
  • 20.10.2025Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk3:2 OT
  • 18.10.2025Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk3:2

Next matches

  • VitebskYunost Minsk15 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • ZhlobinSoligorsk16 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 221%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:3, exactly right.5.3
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →