Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Zurich — Ambri-Piotta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zurich are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Zurich are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zurich — Ambri-Piotta | 3.3–1.9 | |
| Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 75% | |
| Ambri-Piotta to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 25% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Zurich
- Zurich goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Bern1:2 OT
- 03.10away · Fribourg2:1
- 01.10Langnau Tigers1:5
- 29.09Davos0:3
- 26.09away · Lugano5:3
Head to head
- 25.09.2026Ambri-Piotta — Zurich3:6
- 23.01.2026Ambri-Piotta — Zurich2:4
- 25.11.2025Zurich — Ambri-Piotta3:2 OT
- 11.10.2025Zurich — Ambri-Piotta1:2
- 19.09.2025Ambri-Piotta — Zurich2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zurich | 10 | 7 | +18 | 27 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Servette | 11 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
National League on the same day
- AjoieBernpreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- BielEHC Klotenpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
- DavosRapperswil-Jonapreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
- FribourgServettepreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
- ZugLangnau Tigerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →