Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Zurich — Rapperswil-Jona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Zurich are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Zurich are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zurich — Rapperswil-Jona | 3.2–1.9 | |
| Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 73% | |
| Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 27% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Zurich
- Zurich goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Lausanne1:4
- 09.10away · Langnau Tigers0:3
- 03.10Bern4:3 OT
- 02.10away · Lugano2:5
- 29.09Zug2:5
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Zurich1:3
- 07.12.2025Zurich — Rapperswil-Jona3:1
- 28.10.2025Zurich — Rapperswil-Jona7:0
- 10.10.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Zurich3:2
- 28.01.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Zurich4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zurich | 10 | 7 | +18 | 27 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Servette | 11 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 11 | Davos | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 2 | -14 | 11 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Biel | 10 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
National League on the same day
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →