Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Bellucci M. — Muller A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Bellucci M.50%
Muller A.50%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Bellucci M. to win (50%), came true.

Evenly matched: Bellucci M. 50%, Muller A. 50%.

Over 22.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bellucci M. 1528, Muller A. 1553.

Probabilities

Games over 22.553%
Games under 22.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bellucci M. games
  • Muller A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bellucci M.

  • 05.10Ymer E.2:1
  • 24.09Majchrzak K.0:2

Muller A.

  • 05.10Noguchi R.2:1
  • 27.09Davidovich Fokina A.0:2
  • 26.09Cina F.2:0
  • 24.09Kouame M.2:0
  • 23.09Bar Biryukov P.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Bellucci M.Zhou Y.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →