Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Te R. — Simakin I.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Te R.30%
Simakin I.70%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Simakin I. to win (70%), came true.

Simakin I. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Te R. 1497, Simakin I. 1528.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Te R. games
  • Simakin I. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Te R.

  • 05.10Walton A.2:1
  • 28.09Gea A.0:2
  • 22.09Tomic B.1:2

Simakin I.

  • 05.10Pavlovic L.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Ugo Carabelli C.Simakin I.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →