Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Frech M. — Ito A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Frech M.76%
Ito A.24%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Frech M. to win (76%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 76% fails in about 24 matches out of 100 on average.

Frech M. are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Frech M. 1596, Ito A. 1486.

Probabilities

Games over 19.551%
Games under 19.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Frech M. games
  • Ito A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Frech M.

  • 10.10Uchijima M.1:0
  • 02.10Bartunkova N.0:2
  • 30.09Jacquemot E.2:1

Ito A.

  • 10.10Parks A.2:0
  • 01.10Birrell K.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Tjen J.Ito A.12 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Sawangkaew M.Frech M.12 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →