Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Sorribes Tormo S. — Kasatkina D.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Sorribes Tormo S.42%
Kasatkina D.58%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Kasatkina D. to win (58%), came true.

Kasatkina D. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sorribes Tormo S. 1582, Kasatkina D. 1625.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sorribes Tormo S. games
  • Kasatkina D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sorribes Tormo S.

  • 10.10Gibson T.2:0

Kasatkina D.

  • 10.10Golubic V.2:1
  • 01.10Badosa P.1:2
  • 21.09Sasnovich A.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Kasatkina D.Ostapenko J.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →