Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK

Hanfmann Y. — Majchrzak K.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Hanfmann Y.46%
Majchrzak K.54%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Majchrzak K. to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.

Majchrzak K. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 23.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Hanfmann Y. 1598, Majchrzak K. 1582.

Probabilities

Games over 23.548%
Games under 23.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Hanfmann Y. games
  • Majchrzak K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Hanfmann Y.

  • 28.09Machac T.1:2

Majchrzak K.

  • 29.09Fils A.1:2
  • 28.09Sonego L.2:0
  • 26.09Bu Y.1:2
  • 24.09Bellucci M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Hanfmann Y.Tiafoe F.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →