Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, qualifying, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Kasatkina D. — Golubic V.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Kasatkina D.47%
Golubic V.53%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Golubic V. to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Kasatkina D. 47%, Golubic V. 53%.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Kasatkina D. 1620, Golubic V. 1579.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Kasatkina D. games
  • Golubic V. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Kasatkina D.

  • 01.10Badosa P.1:2
  • 21.09Sasnovich A.0:2

Golubic V.

  • 04.10Noskova L.0:2
  • 02.10Stearns P.2:1
  • 30.09Kalieva E.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Sorribes Tormo S.Kasatkina D.11 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →