Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK

Kovacevic A. — Berrettini M.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Kovacevic A.33%
Berrettini M.67%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Berrettini M. to win (67%), came true.

Berrettini M. are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

Over 23.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Kovacevic A. 1489, Berrettini M. 1688.

Probabilities

Games over 23.547%
Games under 23.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Kovacevic A. games
  • Berrettini M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Kovacevic A.

  • 29.09Munar J.0:2
  • 28.09Svajda Z.2:1
  • 24.09Harris L.0:2

Berrettini M.

  • 03.10Vallejo D.0:2
  • 01.10Davidovich Fokina A.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Berrettini M.Nakashima B.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →