Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Kraus S. — Yastremska D.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Kraus S.23%
Yastremska D.77%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Yastremska D. to win (77%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 77% fails in about 23 matches out of 100 on average.

Yastremska D. are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Kraus S. 1381, Yastremska D. 1590.

Probabilities

Games over 20.552%
Games under 20.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Kraus S. games
  • Yastremska D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Kraus S.

  • 02.10Potapova A.0:0
  • 30.09Joint M.2:1

Yastremska D.

  • 02.10Chwalinska M.2:0
  • 30.09McNally C.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Kraus S.Bartunkova N.6 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • Yastremska D.Bucsa C.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →