Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Alexandrova E. — Shnaider D.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Alexandrova E.42%
Shnaider D.58%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Shnaider D. to win (58%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Shnaider D. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Alexandrova E. 1707, Shnaider D. 1762.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Alexandrova E. games
  • Shnaider D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Alexandrova E.

  • 02.10Sasnovich A.2:0

Shnaider D.

  • 02.10Tjen J.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Noskova L.Alexandrova E.6 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • Boulter K.Shnaider D.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →