Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, hard · Monday, 12 October, MSK

McNally C. — Starodubtseva Y.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
McNally C.60%
Starodubtseva Y.40%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, McNally C. to win (60%), came true.

McNally C. are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.

Over 21.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: McNally C. 1633, Starodubtseva Y. 1543.

Probabilities

Games over 21.551%
Games under 21.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • McNally C. games
  • Starodubtseva Y. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

McNally C.

  • 11.10Tararudee L.2:1
  • 10.10Yuan Y.2:0
  • 30.09Yastremska D.0:2

Starodubtseva Y.

  • 01.10Charaeva A.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Muchova K.McNally C.14 October · WTA · Wuhan · live
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:019.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →