Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, hard · Monday, 12 October, MSK

Alexandrova E. — Fernandez L.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Alexandrova E.79%
Fernandez L.21%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Alexandrova E. to win (79%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 79% fails in about 21 matches out of 100 on average.

Alexandrova E. are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Alexandrova E. 1720, Fernandez L. 1490.

Probabilities

Games over 19.548%
Games under 19.552%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Alexandrova E. games
  • Fernandez L. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Alexandrova E.

  • 08.10Andreeva M.0:2
  • 06.10Noskova L.2:0
  • 04.10Shnaider D.2:1
  • 02.10Sasnovich A.2:0

Fernandez L.

  • 03.10Rakhimova K.1:2
  • 27.09Gibson T.2:0
  • 26.09Chwalinska M.2:1
  • 25.09Andreeva M.2:0
  • 23.09Parks A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Shi H.Fernandez L.14 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:221.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →