Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Medvedev D. — Cerundolo F.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Medvedev D.67%
Cerundolo F.33%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Medvedev D. to win (67%), came true.

Medvedev D. are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Medvedev D. 1825, Cerundolo F. 1705.

Probabilities

Games over 24.550%
Games under 24.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Medvedev D. games
  • Cerundolo F. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Medvedev D.

  • 03.10Struff J-L.2:0
  • 02.10Carreno-Busta P.2:0
  • 29.09Rublev A.2:0
  • 28.09Safiullin R.2:0
  • 27.09Wong C.2:1

Cerundolo F.

  • 03.10Mensik J.2:0
  • 01.10Van De Zandschulp B.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Djokovic N.Medvedev D.5 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Cerundolo F.Safiullin R.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →