Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Zverev A. — Djokovic N.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Zverev A.37%
Djokovic N.63%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Djokovic N. to win (63%), came true.

Djokovic N. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zverev A. 1894, Djokovic N. 1982.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zverev A. games
  • Djokovic N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zverev A.

  • 03.10Shang J.2:0
  • 01.10Norrie C.2:0

Djokovic N.

  • 02.10Bu Y.2:1
  • 30.09Borges N.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Djokovic N.Medvedev D.5 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Zverev A.Wu Y.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →