Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Mertens E. — Swiatek I.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Mertens E.22%
Swiatek I.78%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Swiatek I. to win (78%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 78% fails in about 22 matches out of 100 on average.

Swiatek I. are clear favourites: 78% against 22% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Mertens E. 1733, Swiatek I. 1968.

Probabilities

Games over 19.551%
Games under 19.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Mertens E. games
  • Swiatek I. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Mertens E.

  • 07.10Gauff C.2:0
  • 05.10Ostapenko J.2:1
  • 03.10Volynets K.2:1
  • 25.09Chwalinska M.0:2

Swiatek I.

  • 07.10Jovic I.2:0
  • 05.10Vekic D.2:1
  • 03.10Gao X.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zheng Q.Mertens E.10 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Frech M.Swiatek I.14 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:218.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →