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Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Zheng Q. — Mertens E.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Zheng Q.53%
Mertens E.47%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Zheng Q. to win (53%), came true.

Evenly matched: Zheng Q. 53%, Mertens E. 47%.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zheng Q. 1833, Mertens E. 1744.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zheng Q. games
  • Mertens E. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zheng Q.

  • 09.10Svitolina E.2:0
  • 07.10Charaeva A.2:1
  • 05.10Bouzkova M.2:1
  • 03.10Kalinskaya A.1:1
  • 01.10Shi H.2:1

Mertens E.

  • 09.10Swiatek I.2:0
  • 07.10Gauff C.2:0
  • 05.10Ostapenko J.2:1
  • 03.10Volynets K.2:1
  • 25.09Chwalinska M.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zheng Q.Andreeva M.11 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Snigur D.Mertens E.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • Frech M.Uchijima M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • Gibson T.Sorribes Tormo S.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • Ito A.Parks A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Kasatkina D.Golubic V.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Preston T.Krueger A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Ruse G.Putintseva Y.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Stearns P.Shi H.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Kenin S.Rakhimova K.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →