Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Noskova L. — Alexandrova E.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Noskova L.69%
Alexandrova E.31%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Noskova L. to win (69%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 69% fails in about 31 matches out of 100 on average.

Noskova L. are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Noskova L. 1820, Alexandrova E. 1715.

Probabilities

Games over 20.551%
Games under 20.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Noskova L. games
  • Alexandrova E. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Noskova L.

  • 04.10Golubic V.2:0
  • 02.10Ruse G.2:0
  • 27.09Svitolina E.2:0
  • 25.09Bucsa C.2:0
  • 22.09Boulter K.2:0

Alexandrova E.

  • 04.10Shnaider D.2:1
  • 02.10Sasnovich A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Alexandrova E.Andreeva M.8 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.18.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →