Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Muchova K. — Osaka N.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Muchova K.56%
Osaka N.44%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Muchova K. to win (56%), came true.

Muchova K. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Muchova K. 1899, Osaka N. 1867.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Muchova K. games
  • Osaka N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Muchova K.

  • 04.10Samsonova L.2:1
  • 02.10Boulter K.2:0
  • 27.09Kalinina A.2:0
  • 25.09Bouzas Maneiro J.2:0

Osaka N.

  • 04.10Bejlek S.2:0
  • 02.10Timofeeva M.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Muchova K.Bartunkova N.8 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.18.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →