Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, hard · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

Shi H. — Fernandez L.

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Model prediction for 14 October

Shi H.41%
Fernandez L.59%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Fernandez L. are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Shi H. 1484, Fernandez L. 1555.

Facts

  • Shi H.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Shi H. games
  • Fernandez L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Shi H.

  • 12.10Eala A.2:1
  • 11.10Rakhimova K.2:0
  • 10.10Stearns P.2:1
  • 01.10Zheng Q.1:2
  • 29.09Kalieva E.2:1

Fernandez L.

  • 12.10Alexandrova E.2:1
  • 03.10Rakhimova K.1:2
  • 27.09Gibson T.2:0
  • 26.09Chwalinska M.2:1
  • 25.09Andreeva M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →