Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Shi H. — Rakhimova K.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Shi H.39%
Rakhimova K.61%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Rakhimova K. to win (61%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 61% fails in about 39 matches out of 100 on average.

Rakhimova K. are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Shi H. 1528, Rakhimova K. 1573.

Probabilities

Games over 21.551%
Games under 21.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Shi H. games
  • Rakhimova K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Shi H.

  • 10.10Stearns P.2:1
  • 01.10Zheng Q.1:2
  • 29.09Kalieva E.2:1
  • 28.09Mihalikova T.2:0

Rakhimova K.

  • 10.10Kenin S.2:0
  • 05.10Jovic I.0:2
  • 03.10Fernandez L.2:1
  • 01.10Bassols M.2:0
  • 23.09Volynets K.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Eala A.Shi H.12 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →