Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Starodubtseva Y. — Charaeva A.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Starodubtseva Y.58%
Charaeva A.42%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Starodubtseva Y. to win (58%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Starodubtseva Y. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Starodubtseva Y. 1559, Charaeva A. 1503.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Starodubtseva Y. games
  • Charaeva A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Starodubtseva Y.

No past matches in the data yet.

Charaeva A.

  • 24.09Bondar A.1:2
  • 22.09Kenin S.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Rybakina E.Charaeva A.3 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.17.5
  • McNally C.Starodubtseva Y.12 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →