Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, hard · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

Tagger L. — Bartunkova N.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Tagger L.28%
Bartunkova N.72%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Bartunkova N. to win (72%), came true.

Bartunkova N. are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tagger L. 1597, Bartunkova N. 1738.

Probabilities

Games over 20.549%
Games under 20.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Tagger L. games
  • Bartunkova N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Tagger L.

  • 30.09Ruse G.0:2

Bartunkova N.

  • 10.10Andreeva M.0:2
  • 08.10Muchova K.2:0
  • 06.10Kraus S.2:1
  • 04.10Sabalenka A.2:0
  • 02.10Frech M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Paolini J.Bartunkova N.14 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:221.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →