Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Wong C. — Harris L.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Wong C.53%
Harris L.47%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Wong C. to win (53%), came true.

Evenly matched: Wong C. 53%, Harris L. 47%.

Over 23.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Wong C. 1559, Harris L. 1570.

Probabilities

Games over 23.548%
Games under 23.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Wong C. games
  • Harris L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Wong C.

  • 05.10Hewitt C.2:0
  • 27.09Medvedev D.1:2
  • 26.09Vallejo D.2:1
  • 24.09Zhang Z.2:0

Harris L.

  • 05.10Bolt A.2:0
  • 27.09Hurkacz H.0:2
  • 26.09Vacherot V.2:0
  • 24.09Kovacevic A.2:0
  • 23.09Galarneau A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Halys Q.Wong C.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →