Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK

Wu Y. — Zheng M.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Wu Y.47%
Zheng M.53%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Zheng M. to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Wu Y. 47%, Zheng M. 53%.

Over 22.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Wu Y. 1597, Zheng M. 1547.

Probabilities

Games over 22.553%
Games under 22.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Wu Y. games
  • Zheng M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Wu Y.

No past matches in the data yet.

Zheng M.

  • 06.10Mejia N.0:2
  • 05.10Gomez F. A.2:1
  • 24.09Bu Y.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zverev A.Wu Y.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →