Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Zheng Q. — Andreeva M.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Zheng Q.32%
Andreeva M.68%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Andreeva M. to win (68%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 68% fails in about 32 matches out of 100 on average.

Andreeva M. are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zheng Q. 1839, Andreeva M. 1874.

Probabilities

Games over 20.552%
Games under 20.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zheng Q. games
  • Andreeva M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zheng Q.

  • 10.10Mertens E.2:0
  • 09.10Svitolina E.2:0
  • 07.10Charaeva A.2:1
  • 05.10Bouzkova M.2:1
  • 03.10Kalinskaya A.1:1

Andreeva M.

  • 10.10Bartunkova N.2:0
  • 08.10Alexandrova E.2:0
  • 06.10Snigur D.2:0
  • 04.10Kudermetova P.2:0
  • 02.10Yuan Y.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →