Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Zheng Q. — Shi H.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Zheng Q.86%
Shi H.14%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Zheng Q. to win (86%), came true.

Zheng Q. are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

Over 18.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zheng Q. 1809, Shi H. 1500.

Probabilities

Games over 18.553%
Games under 18.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zheng Q. games
  • Shi H. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zheng Q.

  • 24.09Paolini J.0:2

Shi H.

  • 29.09Kalieva E.2:1
  • 28.09Mihalikova T.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zheng Q.Kalinskaya A.3 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Stearns P.Shi H.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →