Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Zheng Q. — Kalinskaya A.

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Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
Zheng Q.56%
Kalinskaya A.44%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Zheng Q. to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.

Zheng Q. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zheng Q. 1811, Kalinskaya A. 1772.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zheng Q. games
  • Kalinskaya A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zheng Q.

  • 01.10Shi H.2:1
  • 24.09Paolini J.0:2

Kalinskaya A.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Bouzkova M.Zheng Q.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →