KHL · Saturday, 24 October, 17:00 MSK

Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk

Model prediction for 24 October

Nizhny Novgorod33%

Draw in regulation22%

Dinamo Minsk45%

Model estimate at 11:06 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dinamo Minsk are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk		2.4–2.7
Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout)		43%
Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)		57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Nizhny Novgorod

12.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
08.10Cherepovets2:3
05.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:1 SO
03.10away · Sochi6:0
01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1

Dinamo Minsk

12.10away · Shanghai3:2
10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3

Head to head

05.10.2026Dinamo Minsk — Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
07.09.2026Dinamo Minsk — Nizhny Novgorod3:4 SO
23.02.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk3:4
28.11.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk1:2
14.10.2025Dinamo Minsk — Nizhny Novgorod7:1

Full record: 43 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Cherepovets	15	9	2	4	35–31	+4	20
5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Nizhny Novgorod	14	9	1	4	40–25	+15	19
6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Niznekamsk	15	8	2	5	47–38	+9	18
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Salavat Ufa	15	8	1	6	46–47	-1	17
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Dinamo Minsk	15	6	5	4	42–48	-6	17
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Barys Astana	14	8	0	6	54–40	+14	16

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

14:30
MagnitogorskNovosibirskpreliminary
7525
1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →