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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

Platense — La Union

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Model prediction and result

86:90Missed
Platense52%
La Union48%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 86:90: the model's most likely outcome, Platense to win (52% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Platense 52%, La Union 48%.

The model expects a score around 84:84 — 168 points in total.

Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Platense −2.7, La Union +0.4 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Platense — La Union84.3–83.6
Total over 167.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 167.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Platense points
  • La Union points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Platense

  • 04.10away · Quimsa67:94
  • 02.10away · Olimpico82:74
  • 18.04San Martin77:79
  • 16.04Regatas87:95
  • 08.04away · Independiente de Oliva98:86

La Union

  • 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
  • 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97
  • 01.05away · Independiente de Oliva78:83
  • 27.04Independiente de Oliva86:62
  • 25.04Independiente de Oliva91:102

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Platense — La Union84:86
  • 14.01.2026La Union — Platense79:68
  • 22.03.2025La Union — Platense82:88
  • 17.12.2024Platense — La Union86:87 OT
  • 14.02.2024Platense — La Union85:78

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsRacing de Chivilcoy321.6671
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union211.5001.5
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLanus211.5001.5
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense312.3332
13Olimpico312.3332

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • La UnionRacing de Chivilcoy16 October · Liga Nacional
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.1
  • PlatenseObera TC17 October · Liga Nacional
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →