EuroLeague (basketball) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

Anadolu Efes — Bayern

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Model prediction for 14 October

In play · estimate from before kick-off

Anadolu Efes67%
Bayern33%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Anadolu Efes are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 85:80 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Anadolu Efes −3.1, Bayern −5.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Anadolu Efes — No. 15, 1–3; Bayern — No. 17, 1–3.
  • Bayern: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Anadolu Efes 5 wins, Bayern 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Anadolu Efes — Bayern85.3–80.0
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Anadolu Efes points
  • Bayern points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Anadolu Efes

  • 09.10away · Olympiacos66:89
  • 01.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet72:77
  • 29.09Real Madrid94:84
  • 24.09away · Barcelona82:89
  • 17.04away · Panathinaikos62:97

Bayern

  • 08.10Virtus Bologna87:94
  • 02.10Partizan Mozzart Bet84:86
  • 29.09away · Fenerbahce76:100
  • 24.09away · Hapoel Tel Aviv86:84
  • 17.04away · Barcelona69:95

Head to head

  • 12.03.2026Bayern — Anadolu Efes80:81
  • 14.11.2025Anadolu Efes — Bayern74:72
  • 14.03.2025Bayern — Anadolu Efes92:97
  • 03.12.2024Anadolu Efes — Bayern101:90
  • 07.03.2024Anadolu Efes — Bayern109:86

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
14Lyon-Villeurbanne523.4003
15Anadolu Efes413.2503.5
16Paris413.2503.5
17Bayern413.2503.5
18Maccabi Tel Aviv514.2004

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →