EuroLeague (basketball) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Paris — Virtus Bologna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Paris are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.
The model expects a score around 91:89 — 180 points in total.
Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Paris −4.4, Virtus Bologna −3.3 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Paris — Virtus Bologna | 91.0–88.6 | |
| Total over 178.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 178.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Paris points
- Virtus Bologna points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 07.10Lyon-Villeurbanne96:98
- 01.10Zalgiris Kaunas82:78
- 29.09Partizan Mozzart Bet79:92
- 24.09away · Panathinaikos72:91
- 17.04away · Zalgiris Kaunas79:85
- 08.10away · Bayern94:87
- 01.10Olympiacos96:94
- 29.09away · Olimpia Milano85:87
- 25.09away · Fenerbahce68:78
- 16.04away · Maccabi Tel Aviv89:85
Head to head
- 31.03.2026Virtus Bologna — Paris82:103
- 09.10.2025Paris — Virtus Bologna90:79
- 07.02.2025Virtus Bologna — Paris77:83
- 28.11.2024Paris — Virtus Bologna81:78
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Besiktas | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Virtus Bologna | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 15 | Anadolu Efes | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 16 | Paris | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 17 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.6
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →