EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Balkan — Lietkabelis

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Model prediction for 20 October

Balkan38%
Lietkabelis62%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Lietkabelis are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 81:84 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Balkan −11.4, Lietkabelis −5.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Balkan — Lietkabelis80.5–84.3
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Balkan points
  • Lietkabelis points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Balkan

  • 13.10away · BC Roma72:77
  • 07.10Bahcesehir Kol.60:101
  • 30.09away · Ulm84:98

Lietkabelis

  • 13.10PAOK95:86
  • 07.10away · BC Roma87:92
  • 30.09KK Bosna75:72
  • 11.02away · London Lions66:58
  • 04.02Panionios89:62

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsBC Roma321.6671
3, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
4, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
5Ulm211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →