EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Manresa — BC Roma

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Model prediction for 20 October

Manresa60%
BC Roma40%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Manresa are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 92:89 — 181 point in total.

Over 179.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Manresa −4.6, BC Roma −5.5 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Manresa — BC Roma92.0–88.6
Total over 179.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 179.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Manresa points
  • BC Roma points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Manresa

  • 13.10away · Bahcesehir Kol.88:100
  • 11.10away · Real Madrid83:120
  • 07.10Ulm101:89
  • 03.10Breogan95:101
  • 30.09away · PAOK78:93

BC Roma

  • 07.10Lietkabelis92:87
  • 30.09away · Bahcesehir Kol.78:91

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
3, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
4, PlayoffsUlm211.5001.5
5BC Roma211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan202.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →