EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Rostock — Aris

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Model prediction for 20 October

Rostock47%
Aris53%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Rostock 47%, Aris 53%.

The model expects a score around 83:84 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Rostock −7.1, Aris −3.8 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Rostock — No. 11, 1–1; Aris — No. 3, 2–0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Rostock — Aris83.1–83.9
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Rostock points
  • Aris points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Rostock

  • 06.10Rigas Zelli87:86
  • 29.09away · Hapoel Jerusalem73:94

Aris

  • 07.10San Pablo Burgos93:80
  • 29.09away · Le Mans87:74
  • 11.02away · Cluj-Napoca92:111
  • 04.02Neptunas83:64
  • 28.01away · Bahcesehir Kol.79:81

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group A

Table «Group A», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsHapoel Jerusalem2201.000—
2, PlayoffsAris2201.000—
3, PlayoffsRostock211.5001
4, PlayoffsRigas Zelli211.5001
5San Pablo Burgos211.5001
6Tortona211.5001
7Cedevita Olimpija202.0002
8Le Mans202.0002

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →