Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Basket Zaragoza — Forca Lleida
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Basket Zaragoza are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 94:88 — 182 points in total.
Over 181.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Basket Zaragoza −2.7, Forca Lleida −4.9 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Basket Zaragoza — Forca Lleida | 94.0–88.4 | |
| Total over 181.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 181.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Basket Zaragoza points
- Forca Lleida points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 10.10away · Leyma Coruna92:71
- 04.10Valencia82:97
- 27.09away · Tenerife81:80
- 29.05away · Breogan95:94
- 26.05Valencia86:98
- 11.10away · Obradoiro CAB89:91
- 04.10San Pablo Burgos81:94
- 27.09away · Valencia105:100
- 29.05away · Murcia95:116
- 24.05MoraBanc Andorra88:116
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Basket Zaragoza — Forca Lleida107:91
- 04.01.2026Forca Lleida — Basket Zaragoza77:87
- 09.03.2025Forca Lleida — Basket Zaragoza97:91
- 29.09.2024Basket Zaragoza — Forca Lleida101:91 OT
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 11 | Unicaja | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 12 | Forca Lleida | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 13 | Leyma Coruna | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.6
- 83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —183.1
- 80201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —183.6
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.9
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —179.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →