Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Basquet Girona — Leyma Coruna

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Model prediction for 18 October

Basquet Girona70%
Leyma Coruna30%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Basquet Girona are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 98:92 — 190 points in total.

Over 188.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Basquet Girona −6.5, Leyma Coruna −9.4 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Basquet Girona — Leyma Coruna98.0–91.7
Total over 188.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 188.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Basquet Girona points
  • Leyma Coruna points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Basquet Girona

  • 10.10away · Breogan92:115
  • 04.10away · Baskonia78:118
  • 27.09Murcia84:77
  • 29.05Joventut Badalona82:77
  • 24.05away · Bilbao80:86

Leyma Coruna

  • 10.10Basket Zaragoza71:92
  • 04.10Bilbao104:101
  • 26.09away · Barcelona101:119
  • 30.05Baskonia101:105
  • 24.05away · Murcia93:105

Head to head

  • 29.03.2025Leyma Coruna — Basquet Girona89:99
  • 14.12.2024Basquet Girona — Leyma Coruna81:98

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9San Pablo Burgos312.3332
10Basquet Girona312.3332
11Unicaja312.3332
12Forca Lleida312.3332
13Leyma Coruna312.3332
14Valencia312.3332

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →