Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Joventut Badalona — Barcelona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Joventut Badalona 48%, Barcelona 52%.
The model expects a score around 90:90 — 180 points in total.
Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Joventut Badalona +1.3, Barcelona +5.3 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Joventut Badalona — Barcelona | 89.5–90.2 | |
| Total over 178.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 178.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Joventut Badalona points
- Barcelona points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10away · Baskonia73:93
- 27.09away · Breogan104:110
- 14.06Valencia75:87
- 12.06away · Valencia76:90
- 10.06away · Valencia117:118
- 13.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:87
- 11.10Valencia89:86
- 09.10Zalgiris Kaunas81:88
- 04.10away · Murcia94:100
- 02.10away · Besiktas95:82
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Joventut Badalona — Barcelona84:72
- 21.12.2025Barcelona — Joventut Badalona90:80
- 30.03.2025Joventut Badalona — Barcelona86:93
- 05.01.2025Barcelona — Joventut Badalona90:91 OT
- 24.03.2024Joventut Badalona — Barcelona75:93
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 6, Playoffs | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Playoffs | Obradoiro CAB | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 16 | MoraBanc Andorra | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 17, Relegation | Joventut Badalona | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 18, Relegation | Manresa | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- 68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.3
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.6
- 83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —183.1
- 80201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —183.6
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →