Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Thursday, 29 October, 00:00 MSK

Boca Juniors — Regatas

Model prediction for 29 October

Boca Juniors63%

Regatas37%

Model estimate at 11:42 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boca Juniors are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 85:81 — 167 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Boca Juniors +3.1, Regatas +3.0 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Boca Juniors — No. 14, 1–2; Regatas — No. 3, 1–0.
Last 5 meetings: Boca Juniors 2 wins, Regatas 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Boca Juniors — Regatas		85.3–81.3
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)		51%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)		49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Boca Juniors points
Regatas points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Boca Juniors

13.10away · Olimpico80:93
11.10away · Quimsa96:105
08.10Obera TC96:73
01.06Quimsa83:94
30.05Quimsa99:92

Regatas

03.10Instituto de Cordoba73:63
19.05Ferro85:87
16.05away · Ferro79:71
14.05away · Ferro75:90
11.05Ferro81:60

Head to head

31.01.2026Regatas — Boca Juniors58:55
12.11.2025Boca Juniors — Regatas74:81
10.05.2025Regatas — Boca Juniors61:68
01.02.2025Boca Juniors — Regatas83:79
03.05.2024Boca Juniors — Regatas76:78

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	San Lorenzo	1	1	0	1.000	1
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Regatas	1	1	0	1.000	1
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Penarol	1	1	0	1.000	1
13	Olimpico	3	1	2	.333	2
14	Boca Juniors	3	1	2	.333	2
15	Ferro	4	1	3	.250	2.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

00:00
GimnasiaFerropreliminary
7228
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.3
00:00
San LorenzoPlatensepreliminary
6931
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →