Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Breogan — Unicaja
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Breogan are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.
The model expects a score around 96:94 — 190 points in total.
Over 188.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Breogan −0.1, Unicaja +0.9 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Breogan — Unicaja | 96.0–93.7 | |
| Total over 188.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 188.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Breogan points
- Unicaja points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 10.10Basquet Girona115:92
- 03.10away · Manresa101:95
- 27.09Joventut Badalona110:104
- 29.05Basket Zaragoza94:95
- 23.05away · Unicaja83:101
- 10.10MoraBanc Andorra92:84
- 03.10Tenerife75:80
- 27.09away · Real Madrid87:89
- 29.05away · Baskonia89:92
- 26.05away · Joventut Badalona74:95
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Unicaja — Breogan101:83
- 03.01.2026Breogan — Unicaja98:82
- 08.02.2025Breogan — Unicaja81:79
- 28.12.2024Unicaja — Breogan86:77
- 09.03.2024Breogan — Unicaja65:76
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 10 | Basquet Girona | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 11 | Unicaja | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 12 | Forca Lleida | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Basquet GironaJoventut Badalonapreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —176.5
- BilbaoMoraBanc Andorrapreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.9
- TenerifeObradoiro CABpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.2
- ValenciaBaskoniapreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.5
- Forca LleidaReal Madridpreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —188.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →