Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Tenerife — Obradoiro CAB
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tenerife are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 93:86 — 179 points in total.
Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Tenerife +2.8, Obradoiro CAB −0.9 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Tenerife — No. 8, 2–1; Obradoiro CAB — No. 7, 2–1.
- Last 5 meetings: Tenerife 4 wins, Obradoiro CAB 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Tenerife — Obradoiro CAB | 93.1–86.1 | |
| Total over 178.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 178.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Tenerife points
- Obradoiro CAB points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10away · Murcia90:77
- 06.10away · London Lions77:89
- 03.10away · Unicaja80:75
- 30.09Turk Telekom82:75
- 27.09Basket Zaragoza80:81
- 11.10Forca Lleida91:89
- 04.10Real Madrid107:114
- 26.09away · MoraBanc Andorra90:85
- 12.05Joventut Badalona97:71
- 09.05away · Palencia81:75
Head to head
- 20.01.2024Obradoiro CAB — Tenerife86:97
- 02.12.2023Tenerife — Obradoiro CAB87:92
- 18.03.2023Obradoiro CAB — Tenerife58:78
- 15.10.2022Tenerife — Obradoiro CAB86:67
- 06.03.2022Tenerife — Obradoiro CAB86:83
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Playoffs | Obradoiro CAB | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 8, Playoffs | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 9 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Basquet GironaJoventut Badalonapreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —176.5
- BilbaoMoraBanc Andorrapreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.9
- ValenciaBaskoniapreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.5
- BreoganUnicajapreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.7
- Forca LleidaReal Madridpreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —188.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →